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MGG: Malaysia-Singapore: What the future beckons By M.G.G. Pillai 12/4/2002 12:25 pm Fri |
At no time since 1965, when Singapore left Malaysia to be
independent, has so many issues raised the ante in bilateral
ties. The bilateral temperature is raised more now than ever.
The 11 September fallout gave Singapore an unrivalled opportunity
to rein in both its more cacaphonous Chinese-speaking Chinese as
well as its local Malay minority. In Malaysia, the government
used it to rein in its opposition, specifically PAS and the
fundamentalist Muslim quarter, which paradoxically became more
agitative and confrontational. But the actions of each raised
tensions between the two countries as well.
The issues that worsened it was, in one sense, a defensive
reaction to re-establish its threatened links with its own
constituency because it could not put the minority down. So, the
tudung affair in Singapore brought forth an immediate reaction in
the reclamation works at Pulau Tekong in Singapore. The
Malaysians upped the ante to point to the unequal nature of its
water agreement with Singapore. Tit for tat actions were taken,
each in its own newspapers subtly, sometimes not so, pointing to
the faults of the other. That the two countries were also
considering purchases of tanks and supersonic aircraft raised the
ante but it also revealed the jockeying for position of its own
next generation of leaders. So miffed at this press war (for that is what it was, using
the newspapers to keep its own support intact by pointing to the
faults of the other, and warn the other of the rising anger of
their actions) that a PAP youth leader attacked Malaysian
newspapers for its raising-tension coverage. Malaysian
politicians have the same accusations against Singapore
newspapers and it is one that both. for their own reasons, decide
to live with. The Malaysian newspapers were up in arms at this
attack, and it was, with some surprise to those who did not know
the underlying attempt at a rapprochement, the UMNO youth leader
and federal cabinet minister, Dato' Hishamuddin Hussein, who did
not want to make an issue of it.
Shortly after, the Singapore deputy prime minister and Mr
Lee's elder son, Brig.-Gen. Lee Hsien Loong, came on an extended
trip to Malaysia. It was not as of visits past. This time, he
spent more time with the Hishamuddin generation of future
leaders. There was more to it than met the eye. As there was of
Dato' Seri Hishamuddin's defence of the PAP youth leader's
criticism of the Malaysian press.
Bilateral ties are now part of the succession in each.
However one looks at the Malaysian and Singapore succession, it
is predicated to what the dominant leader in each wants. But
there are rumblings on the ground, in both, at being forced to
accept the one he has chosen. There is as much concern it would
be BG Lee in Singapore as it would be the deputy prime minister,
Dato' Seri Abdullah Ahmad Badawi, in Malaysia. The politicking
on who would be prime minister after Mr Goh Chok Tong in
Singapore and Dr Mahathir in Malaysia has begun. And each
strengthens his position by forging links with like-minded forces
in the other. At the same time, reality strikes in both Malaysia and
Singapore. The economic downturn, the political uncertainties,
even the publicly verboten belief in each that without the other
they limp along, has brought a reality check in the immediate
tension all this has caused. There is serious debate within the
PAP and the Chinese community about Singapore's role in a future
in which the growing Islamic pressures in Indonesia and Malaysia
could squeeze the republic in. Malaysia's anger at the Pulau
Tekong reclamation is only part of the story. It is seen here as
a reaction to Malaysia's attempts to build its own port
facilities for no reason than to spite Singapore. The Pulau
Tekong reclamation is, in the view of some in Malaysia, its tit
for tat. There is a view in both Malaysia and Singapore that each has
mismanaged its ties with the other. The arrogant postures of
each are not now sustainable, one for not thinking through its
actions, and the other for looking at bilateral in cold,
calculating, mathematical terms in which the human element is
deliberately torn out. In the decades ahead, this could either draw them further
apart or bring them closer. What makes the later option more
likely is the growing fear of both the young Malaysian and the
young Singaporean of their giant neighbour, Indonesia, where her
younger generation looks at its role in the Nusantara as an
emperor looks at its lost prized jewels of his domain. Both are
unhappy at this, and the views grows, however imperceptibly, that
each must submerge its mutual cultural antipathy to the other and
join hands to challenge a bigger threat in its midst.
M.G.G. Pillai |